Target Price Playground
TEAM
$57.15
๐ข
TEAM IV: 68.4% โ LOW
(-33.2% vs 30d avg of 102.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $50 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $57 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.36 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TEAM hits $50 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-36 (-4.9%) on $736 risked, vs $-715 (-12.5%) for 100 shares on $5,715. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TEAM is at $50. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TEAM hits $50 by Jun 19
$-36
-4.9% on $736 risked
Max Profit
+$4,964
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$736
Premium paid
Break-even
$49.64
-13.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.0 / -5.27 / 9.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TEAM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $46 (-20%) | +$622 | +$538 | +$446 | +$392 |
| $49 (-15%) | +$439 | +$338 | +$218 | +$106 |
| $50 (-13%) โ target | +$355 | +$247 | +$114 | -$36 |
| $51 (-10%) | +$274 | +$160 | +$16 | -$180 |
| $54 (-5%) | +$128 | +$5 | -$157 | -$465 |
| $56 (-2%) | +$49 | -$78 | -$246 | -$637 |
| $57 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$129 | -$300 | -$736 |
| $58 (+2%) | -$47 | -$177 | -$349 | -$736 |
| $60 (+5%) | -$112 | -$243 | -$415 | -$736 |
| $63 (+10%) | -$209 | -$339 | -$504 | -$736 |
| $66 (+15%) | -$293 | -$418 | -$571 | -$736 |
| $69 (+20%) | -$364 | -$483 | -$621 | -$736 |
Uses TEAM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.