Target Price Playground
TEL
$229.78
๐ข
TEL IV: 41.8% โ LOW
(-27.3% vs 30d avg of 57.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $255 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $230 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.7 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $250 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.7 ยท ฮ 0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TEL hits $255 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,200 (150.0%) on $800 risked, vs +$2,522 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $22,978. Options give 13.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TEL is at $255. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TEL hits $255 by Jun 19
+$1,200
+150.0% on $800 risked
Max Profit
+$1,200
If the stock โฅ $250 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$800
Net debit
Break-even
$238.00
+3.58% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
21.43 / -0.77 / 2.72
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TEL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $184 (-20%) | -$708 | -$758 | -$795 | -$800 |
| $195 (-15%) | -$609 | -$684 | -$768 | -$800 |
| $207 (-10%) | -$460 | -$547 | -$680 | -$800 |
| $218 (-5%) | -$265 | -$339 | -$481 | -$800 |
| $225 (-2%) | -$132 | -$186 | -$300 | -$800 |
| $230 (0%) โ spot | -$39 | -$76 | -$159 | -$800 |
| $234 (+2%) | +$56 | +$38 | -$6 | -$362 |
| $241 (+5%) | +$197 | +$210 | +$230 | +$327 |
| $255 (+11%) โ target | +$463 | +$529 | +$657 | +$1,200 |
| $264 (+15%) | +$620 | +$710 | +$870 | +$1,200 |
| $276 (+20%) | +$783 | +$885 | +$1,041 | +$1,200 |
Uses TEL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.