Target Price Playground
TEL
$229.78
๐ข
TEL IV: 41.8% โ LOW
(-27.3% vs 30d avg of 57.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $230 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $31.0 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $220 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.75 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TEL hits $220 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$856 (118.1%) on $725 risked, vs $-978 (-4.3%) for 100 shares on $22,978. Options give 27.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TEL is at $220. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TEL hits $220 by Jun 19
+$856
+118.1% on $725 risked
Max Profit
+$835
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$712
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$237.75
+3.47% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.45 / 2.15 / 8.6
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TEL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $184 (-20%) | +$214 | +$237 | +$244 | +$208 |
| $195 (-15%) | +$195 | +$238 | +$284 | +$252 |
| $207 (-10%) | +$147 | +$204 | +$293 | +$384 |
| $220 (-4%) โ target | +$54 | +$108 | +$206 | +$731 |
| $225 (-2%) | +$9 | +$55 | +$139 | +$424 |
| $230 (0%) โ spot | -$34 | +$3 | +$69 | +$190 |
| $234 (+2%) | -$80 | -$53 | -$10 | -$8 |
| $241 (+5%) | -$150 | -$140 | -$133 | -$244 |
| $253 (+10%) | -$266 | -$283 | -$328 | -$497 |
| $264 (+15%) | -$373 | -$410 | -$482 | -$628 |
| $276 (+20%) | -$465 | -$512 | -$587 | -$687 |
Uses TEL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.