Target Price Playground
TEL
$229.78
๐ข
TEL IV: 41.8% โ LOW
(-27.3% vs 30d avg of 57.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $255 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $230 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.7 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TEL hits $255 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,030 (70.1%) on $1,470 risked, vs +$2,522 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $22,978. Options give 6.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TEL is at $255. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TEL hits $255 by Jun 19
+$1,030
+70.1% on $1,470 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,470
Premium paid
Break-even
$244.70
+6.49% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.65 / -11.43 / 38.82
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TEL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $184 (-20%) | -$1,338 | -$1,418 | -$1,464 | -$1,470 |
| $195 (-15%) | -$1,175 | -$1,318 | -$1,435 | -$1,470 |
| $207 (-10%) | -$900 | -$1,111 | -$1,332 | -$1,470 |
| $218 (-5%) | -$488 | -$753 | -$1,075 | -$1,470 |
| $225 (-2%) | -$171 | -$456 | -$815 | -$1,470 |
| $230 (0%) โ spot | +$71 | -$222 | -$593 | -$1,470 |
| $234 (+2%) | +$335 | +$41 | -$331 | -$1,032 |
| $241 (+5%) | +$771 | +$483 | +$129 | -$343 |
| $255 (+11%) โ target | +$1,769 | +$1,516 | +$1,240 | +$1,030 |
| $264 (+15%) | +$2,521 | +$2,301 | +$2,085 | +$1,955 |
| $276 (+20%) | +$3,522 | +$3,344 | +$3,191 | +$3,104 |
Uses TEL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.