Target Price Playground
TEL
$229.78
๐ข
TEL IV: 41.8% โ LOW
(-27.3% vs 30d avg of 57.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $200 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $230 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.4 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TEL hits $200 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,460 (94.8%) on $1,540 risked, vs $-2,978 (-13.0%) for 100 shares on $22,978. Options give 7.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TEL is at $200. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TEL hits $200 by Jun 19
+$1,460
+94.8% on $1,540 risked
Max Profit
+$21,460
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,540
Premium paid
Break-even
$214.60
-6.61% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.72 / -12.46 / 38.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TEL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $184 (-20%) | +$3,021 | +$3,003 | +$3,019 | +$3,078 |
| $195 (-15%) | +$2,034 | +$1,954 | +$1,898 | +$1,929 |
| $200 (-13%) โ target | +$1,662 | +$1,554 | +$1,458 | +$1,460 |
| $207 (-10%) | +$1,160 | +$1,012 | +$852 | +$780 |
| $218 (-5%) | +$423 | +$220 | -$39 | -$369 |
| $225 (-2%) | +$52 | -$171 | -$468 | -$1,058 |
| $230 (0%) โ spot | -$166 | -$397 | -$706 | -$1,518 |
| $234 (+2%) | -$362 | -$595 | -$904 | -$1,540 |
| $241 (+5%) | -$615 | -$842 | -$1,133 | -$1,540 |
| $253 (+10%) | -$939 | -$1,138 | -$1,366 | -$1,540 |
| $264 (+15%) | -$1,163 | -$1,322 | -$1,475 | -$1,540 |
| $276 (+20%) | -$1,311 | -$1,427 | -$1,518 | -$1,540 |
Uses TEL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.