Target Price Playground
TEL
$229.78
๐ข
TEL IV: 41.8% โ LOW
(-27.3% vs 30d avg of 57.5%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $265 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $230 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.7 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $230 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.4 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TEL hits $265 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$490 (16.3%) on $3,010 risked, vs +$3,522 (15.3%) for 100 shares on $22,978. Options give 1.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TEL is at $265. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TEL hits $265 by Jun 19
+$490
+16.3% on $3,010 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$3,010
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$199.90
-13.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
34%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.93 / -23.89 / 77.66
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TEL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $184 (-20%) | +$1,684 | +$1,586 | +$1,554 | +$1,608 |
| $195 (-15%) | +$859 | +$636 | +$463 | +$459 |
| $207 (-10%) | +$260 | -$99 | -$480 | -$690 |
| $218 (-5%) | -$65 | -$533 | -$1,114 | -$1,839 |
| $225 (-2%) | -$119 | -$627 | -$1,283 | -$2,528 |
| $230 (0%) โ spot | -$96 | -$619 | -$1,298 | -$2,988 |
| $234 (+2%) | -$27 | -$554 | -$1,235 | -$2,572 |
| $241 (+5%) | +$156 | -$359 | -$1,004 | -$1,883 |
| $253 (+10%) | +$657 | +$197 | -$322 | -$734 |
| $265 (+15%) โ target | +$1,410 | +$1,036 | +$677 | +$490 |
| $276 (+20%) | +$2,212 | +$1,916 | +$1,672 | +$1,564 |
Uses TEL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.