Target Price Playground
TER
$367.99
๐ข
TER IV: 67.6% โ LOW
(-35.2% vs 30d avg of 104.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $410 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $46.88 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $395 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $34.19 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TER hits $410 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,231 (97.1%) on $1,269 risked, vs +$4,201 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $36,799. Options give 8.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TER is at $410. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TER hits $410 by Jun 19
+$1,231
+97.1% on $1,269 risked
Max Profit
+$1,231
If the stock โฅ $395 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,269
Net debit
Break-even
$382.69
+3.99% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.88 / -2.33 / -1.22
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TER Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $294 (-20%) | -$873 | -$966 | -$1,120 | -$1,269 |
| $313 (-15%) | -$739 | -$823 | -$988 | -$1,269 |
| $331 (-10%) | -$591 | -$656 | -$802 | -$1,269 |
| $350 (-5%) | -$434 | -$471 | -$569 | -$1,269 |
| $361 (-2%) | -$338 | -$355 | -$414 | -$1,269 |
| $368 (0%) โ spot | -$274 | -$277 | -$307 | -$1,269 |
| $375 (+2%) | -$210 | -$199 | -$198 | -$734 |
| $386 (+5%) | -$115 | -$83 | -$35 | +$370 |
| $405 (+10%) | +$38 | +$105 | +$225 | +$1,231 |
| $410 (+11%) โ target | +$80 | +$156 | +$295 | +$1,231 |
| $423 (+15%) | +$184 | +$280 | +$459 | +$1,231 |
| $442 (+20%) | +$318 | +$438 | +$656 | +$1,231 |
Uses TER's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.