Target Price Playground
TER
$367.99
๐ข
TER IV: 67.6% โ LOW
(-35.2% vs 30d avg of 104.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $350 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $370 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $55.3 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $35.5 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TER hits $350 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,895 (95.7%) on $1,980 risked, vs $-1,799 (-4.9%) for 100 shares on $36,799. Options give 19.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TER is at $350. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TER hits $350 by Jun 19
+$1,895
+95.7% on $1,980 risked
Max Profit
+$1,838
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,611
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$392.17
+6.57% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
87%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.71 / 5.29 / 13.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TER Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $294 (-20%) | +$67 | +$180 | +$329 | +$274 |
| $313 (-15%) | +$35 | +$171 | +$390 | +$609 |
| $331 (-10%) | -$22 | +$124 | +$385 | +$1,111 |
| $350 (-5%) โ target | -$102 | +$38 | +$302 | +$1,820 |
| $361 (-2%) | -$157 | -$25 | +$222 | +$1,248 |
| $368 (0%) โ spot | -$198 | -$75 | +$154 | +$890 |
| $375 (+2%) | -$241 | -$129 | +$77 | +$562 |
| $386 (+5%) | -$310 | -$216 | -$51 | +$125 |
| $405 (+10%) | -$432 | -$373 | -$289 | -$469 |
| $423 (+15%) | -$559 | -$538 | -$537 | -$918 |
| $442 (+20%) | -$688 | -$703 | -$778 | -$1,247 |
Uses TER's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.