Target Price Playground
TER
$367.99
๐ข
TER IV: 67.6% โ LOW
(-35.2% vs 30d avg of 104.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $410 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $46.88 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TER hits $410 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-688 (-14.7%) on $4,688 risked, vs +$4,201 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $36,799. Options give 1.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TER is at $410. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TER hits $410 by Jun 19
$-688
-14.7% on $4,688 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$4,688
Premium paid
Break-even
$416.88
+13.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.48 / -36.73 / 61.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TER Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $294 (-20%) | -$3,381 | -$3,899 | -$4,421 | -$4,688 |
| $313 (-15%) | -$2,804 | -$3,432 | -$4,139 | -$4,688 |
| $331 (-10%) | -$2,093 | -$2,813 | -$3,687 | -$4,688 |
| $350 (-5%) | -$1,248 | -$2,036 | -$3,034 | -$4,688 |
| $361 (-2%) | -$678 | -$1,494 | -$2,539 | -$4,688 |
| $368 (0%) โ spot | -$274 | -$1,102 | -$2,167 | -$4,688 |
| $375 (+2%) | +$150 | -$686 | -$1,761 | -$4,153 |
| $386 (+5%) | +$821 | -$20 | -$1,092 | -$3,049 |
| $405 (+10%) | +$2,027 | +$1,198 | +$170 | -$1,209 |
| $410 (+11%) โ target | +$2,388 | +$1,565 | +$557 | -$688 |
| $423 (+15%) | +$3,333 | +$2,535 | +$1,589 | +$631 |
| $442 (+20%) | +$4,727 | +$3,975 | +$3,133 | +$2,471 |
Uses TER's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.