Target Price Playground
TER
$367.99
๐ข
TER IV: 67.6% โ LOW
(-35.2% vs 30d avg of 104.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $325 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $46.9 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TER hits $325 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-190 (-4.1%) on $4,690 risked, vs $-4,299 (-11.7%) for 100 shares on $36,799. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TER is at $325. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TER hits $325 by Jun 19
$-190
-4.1% on $4,690 risked
Max Profit
+$32,310
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$4,690
Premium paid
Break-even
$323.10
-12.2% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.74 / -33.62 / 61.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TER Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $294 (-20%) | +$3,873 | +$3,455 | +$3,034 | +$2,871 |
| $313 (-15%) | +$2,611 | +$2,083 | +$1,476 | +$1,031 |
| $325 (-12%) โ target | +$1,847 | +$1,255 | +$533 | -$190 |
| $331 (-10%) | +$1,482 | +$861 | +$88 | -$809 |
| $350 (-5%) | +$487 | -$201 | -$1,099 | -$2,649 |
| $361 (-2%) | -$48 | -$763 | -$1,709 | -$3,753 |
| $368 (0%) โ spot | -$379 | -$1,107 | -$2,072 | -$4,489 |
| $375 (+2%) | -$691 | -$1,428 | -$2,403 | -$4,690 |
| $386 (+5%) | -$1,124 | -$1,865 | -$2,838 | -$4,690 |
| $405 (+10%) | -$1,758 | -$2,488 | -$3,416 | -$4,690 |
| $423 (+15%) | -$2,292 | -$2,990 | -$3,837 | -$4,690 |
| $442 (+20%) | -$2,739 | -$3,391 | -$4,132 | -$4,690 |
Uses TER's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.