Target Price Playground
TER
$367.99
๐ข
TER IV: 67.6% โ LOW
(-35.2% vs 30d avg of 104.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $410 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $367.99 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TER hits $410 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$4,201 (11.4%) on $36,799 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TER hits $410 by Jun 19
+$4,201
+11.4% on $36,799 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$36,799
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$367.99
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TER Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $294 (-20%) | -$7,360 | -$7,360 | -$7,360 |
| $313 (-15%) | -$5,520 | -$5,520 | -$5,520 |
| $331 (-10%) | -$3,680 | -$3,680 | -$3,680 |
| $350 (-5%) | -$1,840 | -$1,840 | -$1,840 |
| $361 (-2%) | -$736 | -$736 | -$736 |
| $368 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $375 (+2%) | +$736 | +$736 | +$736 |
| $386 (+5%) | +$1,840 | +$1,840 | +$1,840 |
| $405 (+10%) | +$3,680 | +$3,680 | +$3,680 |
| $410 (+11%) โ target | +$4,201 | +$4,201 | +$4,201 |
| $423 (+15%) | +$5,520 | +$5,520 | +$5,520 |
| $442 (+20%) | +$7,360 | +$7,360 | +$7,360 |
Uses TER's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.