Target Price Playground
TER
$367.99
๐ข
TER IV: 67.6% โ LOW
(-35.2% vs 30d avg of 104.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $405 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $367.99 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $35.5 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TER hits $405 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$151 (0.4%) on $40,349 risked, vs +$3,701 (10.1%) for 100 shares on $36,799.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TER is at $405. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TER hits $405 by Jun 19
+$151
+0.4% on $40,349 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$5,349
Put floors you at $350
Break-even
$403.49
+9.65% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.11 / -31.86 / 59.68
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TER Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $294 (-20%) | -$3,906 | -$4,398 | -$4,957 | -$5,349 |
| $313 (-15%) | -$3,203 | -$3,788 | -$4,516 | -$5,349 |
| $331 (-10%) | -$2,358 | -$3,010 | -$3,862 | -$5,349 |
| $350 (-5%) | -$1,377 | -$2,068 | -$2,983 | -$5,349 |
| $361 (-2%) | -$726 | -$1,427 | -$2,350 | -$4,286 |
| $368 (0%) โ spot | -$269 | -$969 | -$1,886 | -$3,550 |
| $375 (+2%) | +$208 | -$490 | -$1,391 | -$2,814 |
| $386 (+5%) | +$955 | +$270 | -$595 | -$1,710 |
| $405 (+10%) โ target | +$2,298 | +$1,648 | +$873 | +$151 |
| $423 (+15%) | +$3,699 | +$3,097 | +$2,429 | +$1,970 |
| $442 (+20%) | +$5,192 | +$4,649 | +$4,094 | +$3,810 |
Uses TER's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.