Target Price Playground
TER
$367.99
๐ข
TER IV: 67.6% โ LOW
(-35.2% vs 30d avg of 104.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $425 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $46.88 ยท ฮ 0.56
LONG PUT ยท $370 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $46.9 ยท ฮ -0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TER hits $425 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-3,878 (-41.4%) on $9,378 risked, vs +$5,701 (15.5%) for 100 shares on $36,799. Options give 2.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TER is at $425. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TER hits $425 by Jun 19
$-3,878
-41.4% on $9,378 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$9,378
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$276.22
-24.94% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
60%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.74 / -70.36 / 123.15
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TER Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $294 (-20%) | +$492 | -$444 | -$1,387 | -$1,817 |
| $313 (-15%) | -$193 | -$1,349 | -$2,663 | -$3,657 |
| $331 (-10%) | -$610 | -$1,951 | -$3,599 | -$5,497 |
| $350 (-5%) | -$761 | -$2,237 | -$4,133 | -$7,337 |
| $361 (-2%) | -$726 | -$2,257 | -$4,248 | -$8,441 |
| $368 (0%) โ spot | -$653 | -$2,209 | -$4,239 | -$9,177 |
| $375 (+2%) | -$541 | -$2,114 | -$4,163 | -$8,843 |
| $386 (+5%) | -$303 | -$1,885 | -$3,930 | -$7,739 |
| $405 (+10%) | +$270 | -$1,289 | -$3,246 | -$5,899 |
| $425 (+15%) โ target | +$1,127 | -$362 | -$2,135 | -$3,878 |
| $442 (+20%) | +$1,988 | +$584 | -$999 | -$2,219 |
Uses TER's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.