Target Price Playground
TMUS
$195.71
๐ข
TMUS IV: 27.5% โ LOW
(-49.7% vs 30d avg of 54.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $195.71 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TMUS hits $220 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$2,429 (12.4%) on $19,571 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TMUS hits $220 by Jun 19
+$2,429
+12.4% on $19,571 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$19,571
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$195.71
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
34%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TMUS Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $157 (-20%) | -$3,914 | -$3,914 | -$3,914 |
| $166 (-15%) | -$2,936 | -$2,936 | -$2,936 |
| $176 (-10%) | -$1,957 | -$1,957 | -$1,957 |
| $186 (-5%) | -$979 | -$979 | -$979 |
| $192 (-2%) | -$391 | -$391 | -$391 |
| $196 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $200 (+2%) | +$391 | +$391 | +$391 |
| $206 (+5%) | +$979 | +$979 | +$979 |
| $215 (+10%) | +$1,957 | +$1,957 | +$1,957 |
| $220 (+12%) โ target | +$2,429 | +$2,429 | +$2,429 |
| $225 (+15%) | +$2,936 | +$2,936 | +$2,936 |
| $235 (+20%) | +$3,914 | +$3,914 | +$3,914 |
Uses TMUS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.