Target Price Playground
TMUS
$195.71
๐ข
TMUS IV: 27.5% โ LOW
(-49.7% vs 30d avg of 54.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $195 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $11.7 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TMUS hits $220 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,330 (113.7%) on $1,170 risked, vs +$2,429 (12.4%) for 100 shares on $19,571. Options give 9.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TMUS is at $220. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TMUS hits $220 by Jun 19
+$1,330
+113.7% on $1,170 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,170
Premium paid
Break-even
$206.70
+5.62% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
34%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.44 / -8.41 / 32.85
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TMUS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $157 (-20%) | -$1,120 | -$1,155 | -$1,169 | -$1,170 |
| $166 (-15%) | -$1,028 | -$1,106 | -$1,160 | -$1,170 |
| $176 (-10%) | -$838 | -$973 | -$1,105 | -$1,170 |
| $186 (-5%) | -$515 | -$701 | -$921 | -$1,170 |
| $192 (-2%) | -$249 | -$452 | -$706 | -$1,170 |
| $196 (0%) โ spot | -$41 | -$249 | -$512 | -$1,099 |
| $200 (+2%) | +$190 | -$18 | -$277 | -$708 |
| $206 (+5%) | +$580 | +$380 | +$144 | -$120 |
| $215 (+10%) | +$1,324 | +$1,154 | +$979 | +$858 |
| $220 (+12%) โ target | +$1,718 | +$1,566 | +$1,420 | +$1,330 |
| $225 (+15%) | +$2,160 | +$2,027 | +$1,909 | +$1,837 |
| $235 (+20%) | +$3,058 | +$2,956 | +$2,874 | +$2,815 |
Uses TMUS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.