Target Price Playground
TSLA
$348.95
๐ข
TSLA IV: 48.7% โ LOW
(-20.7% vs 30d avg of 61.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $390 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $25.7 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $375 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.95 ยท ฮ 0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TSLA hits $390 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,525 (156.4%) on $975 risked, vs +$4,105 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $34,895. Options give 13.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TSLA is at $390. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TSLA hits $390 by Jun 19
+$1,525
+156.4% on $975 risked
Max Profit
+$1,525
If the stock โฅ $375 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$975
Net debit
Break-even
$359.75
+3.09% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.39 / -1.43 / 4.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TSLA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $279 (-20%) | -$732 | -$823 | -$932 | -$975 |
| $297 (-15%) | -$586 | -$689 | -$847 | -$975 |
| $314 (-10%) | -$405 | -$499 | -$677 | -$975 |
| $332 (-5%) | -$197 | -$263 | -$408 | -$975 |
| $342 (-2%) | -$65 | -$106 | -$206 | -$975 |
| $349 (0%) โ spot | +$25 | +$2 | -$60 | -$975 |
| $356 (+2%) | +$115 | +$112 | +$91 | -$382 |
| $366 (+5%) | +$249 | +$276 | +$319 | +$665 |
| $384 (+10%) | +$464 | +$536 | +$675 | +$1,525 |
| $390 (+12%) โ target | +$535 | +$622 | +$787 | +$1,525 |
| $401 (+15%) | +$660 | +$768 | +$968 | +$1,525 |
| $419 (+20%) | +$833 | +$963 | +$1,184 | +$1,525 |
Uses TSLA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.