Target Price Playground
TSLA
$348.95
๐ข
TSLA IV: 49.3% โ LOW
(-19.7% vs 30d avg of 61.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $330 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $32.15 ยท ฮ -0.47
SHORT PUT ยท $330 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.3 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TSLA hits $330 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,367 (98.7%) on $1,385 risked, vs $-1,895 (-5.4%) for 100 shares on $34,895. Options give 18.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TSLA is at $330. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TSLA hits $330 by Jun 19
+$1,367
+98.7% on $1,385 risked
Max Profit
+$1,326
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,359
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$355.69
+1.93% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.71 / 2.5 / 13.4
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TSLA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $279 (-20%) | +$501 | +$579 | +$657 | +$588 |
| $297 (-15%) | +$440 | +$543 | +$691 | +$751 |
| $314 (-10%) | +$342 | +$455 | +$648 | +$1,074 |
| $330 (-5%) โ target | +$224 | +$327 | +$517 | +$1,559 |
| $342 (-2%) | +$121 | +$206 | +$364 | +$864 |
| $349 (0%) โ spot | +$56 | +$128 | +$258 | +$514 |
| $356 (+2%) | -$11 | +$46 | +$143 | +$205 |
| $366 (+5%) | -$115 | -$83 | -$40 | -$186 |
| $384 (+10%) | -$290 | -$300 | -$346 | -$667 |
| $401 (+15%) | -$460 | -$508 | -$621 | -$976 |
| $419 (+20%) | -$618 | -$696 | -$847 | -$1,163 |
Uses TSLA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.