Target Price Playground
TSLA
$348.95
๐ข
TSLA IV: 49.3% โ LOW
(-19.7% vs 30d avg of 61.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $390 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $25.7 ยท ฮ 0.53
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TSLA hits $390 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,430 (55.6%) on $2,570 risked, vs +$4,105 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $34,895. Options give 4.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TSLA is at $390. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TSLA hits $390 by Jun 19
+$1,430
+55.6% on $2,570 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,570
Premium paid
Break-even
$375.70
+7.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
52.58 / -21.09 / 59.52
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TSLA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $279 (-20%) | -$2,049 | -$2,307 | -$2,514 | -$2,570 |
| $297 (-15%) | -$1,666 | -$2,031 | -$2,392 | -$2,570 |
| $314 (-10%) | -$1,127 | -$1,589 | -$2,117 | -$2,570 |
| $332 (-5%) | -$418 | -$953 | -$1,617 | -$2,570 |
| $342 (-2%) | +$90 | -$472 | -$1,187 | -$2,570 |
| $349 (0%) โ spot | +$462 | -$111 | -$844 | -$2,570 |
| $356 (+2%) | +$861 | +$282 | -$456 | -$1,977 |
| $366 (+5%) | +$1,505 | +$928 | +$206 | -$930 |
| $384 (+10%) | +$2,693 | +$2,144 | +$1,494 | +$815 |
| $390 (+12%) โ target | +$3,143 | +$2,610 | +$1,995 | +$1,430 |
| $401 (+15%) | +$4,006 | +$3,507 | +$2,963 | +$2,559 |
| $419 (+20%) | +$5,425 | +$4,986 | +$4,553 | +$4,304 |
Uses TSLA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.