Target Price Playground
TSLA
$348.95
๐ข
TSLA IV: 49.3% โ LOW
(-19.7% vs 30d avg of 61.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $305 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $27.58 ยท ฮ -0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TSLA hits $305 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,742 (63.2%) on $2,758 risked, vs $-4,395 (-12.6%) for 100 shares on $34,895. Options give 5.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TSLA is at $305. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TSLA hits $305 by Jun 19
+$1,742
+63.2% on $2,758 risked
Max Profit
+$32,242
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$2,758
Premium paid
Break-even
$322.42
-7.6% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-48.03 / -17.71 / 59.49
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TSLA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $279 (-20%) | +$4,559 | +$4,395 | +$4,283 | +$4,326 |
| $297 (-15%) | +$3,197 | +$2,927 | +$2,660 | +$2,581 |
| $305 (-13%) โ target | +$2,597 | +$2,277 | +$1,930 | +$1,742 |
| $314 (-10%) | +$1,991 | +$1,624 | +$1,190 | +$836 |
| $332 (-5%) | +$956 | +$516 | -$54 | -$908 |
| $342 (-2%) | +$417 | -$51 | -$671 | -$1,955 |
| $349 (0%) โ spot | +$92 | -$388 | -$1,026 | -$2,653 |
| $356 (+2%) | -$208 | -$693 | -$1,336 | -$2,758 |
| $366 (+5%) | -$611 | -$1,093 | -$1,721 | -$2,758 |
| $384 (+10%) | -$1,168 | -$1,622 | -$2,178 | -$2,758 |
| $401 (+15%) | -$1,598 | -$2,004 | -$2,453 | -$2,758 |
| $419 (+20%) | -$1,925 | -$2,270 | -$2,608 | -$2,758 |
Uses TSLA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.