Target Price Playground
TSLA
$348.95
๐ข
TSLA IV: 49.3% โ LOW
(-19.7% vs 30d avg of 61.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $400 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $25.7 ยท ฮ 0.53
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $27.58 ยท ฮ -0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TSLA hits $400 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-328 (-6.2%) on $5,328 risked, vs +$5,105 (14.6%) for 100 shares on $34,895. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TSLA is at $400. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TSLA hits $400 by Jun 19
$-328
-6.2% on $5,328 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$5,328
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$296.72
-14.97% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
49%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
4.55 / -38.8 / 119.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TSLA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $279 (-20%) | +$2,509 | +$2,088 | +$1,768 | +$1,756 |
| $297 (-15%) | +$1,530 | +$896 | +$269 | +$11 |
| $314 (-10%) | +$865 | +$35 | -$927 | -$1,734 |
| $332 (-5%) | +$539 | -$437 | -$1,671 | -$3,478 |
| $342 (-2%) | +$508 | -$523 | -$1,858 | -$4,525 |
| $349 (0%) โ spot | +$554 | -$499 | -$1,869 | -$5,223 |
| $356 (+2%) | +$652 | -$411 | -$1,791 | -$4,735 |
| $366 (+5%) | +$893 | -$165 | -$1,515 | -$3,688 |
| $384 (+10%) | +$1,525 | +$522 | -$683 | -$1,943 |
| $400 (+15%) โ target | +$2,335 | +$1,422 | +$411 | -$328 |
| $419 (+20%) | +$3,500 | +$2,716 | +$1,946 | +$1,546 |
Uses TSLA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.