Target Price Playground
TTAN
$55.29
๐ข
TTAN IV: 58.7% โ LOW
(-22.6% vs 30d avg of 75.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $49 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $55 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.89 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $51 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.83 ยท ฮ -0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TTAN hits $49 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$194 (94.0%) on $206 risked, vs $-629 (-11.4%) for 100 shares on $5,529. Options give 8.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TTAN is at $49. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TTAN hits $49 by Jun 19
+$194
+94.0% on $206 risked
Max Profit
+$194
If the stock โค $51 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$206
Net debit
Break-even
$52.94
-4.25% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
68%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.66 / -0.51 / 0.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TTAN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $44 (-20%) | +$101 | +$116 | +$144 | +$194 |
| $47 (-15%) | +$73 | +$84 | +$107 | +$194 |
| $49 (-11%) โ target | +$52 | +$59 | +$75 | +$194 |
| $50 (-10%) | +$44 | +$49 | +$62 | +$194 |
| $53 (-5%) | +$15 | +$13 | +$12 | +$41 |
| $54 (-2%) | -$3 | -$8 | -$18 | -$124 |
| $55 (0%) โ spot | -$14 | -$22 | -$37 | -$206 |
| $56 (+2%) | -$25 | -$36 | -$56 | -$206 |
| $58 (+5%) | -$41 | -$55 | -$81 | -$206 |
| $61 (+10%) | -$67 | -$84 | -$118 | -$206 |
| $64 (+15%) | -$89 | -$110 | -$146 | -$206 |
| $66 (+20%) | -$109 | -$131 | -$167 | -$206 |
Uses TTAN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.