Target Price Playground
TTAN
$55.29
๐ข
TTAN IV: 58.7% โ LOW
(-22.6% vs 30d avg of 75.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $61 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $55.29 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $53 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.73 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TTAN hits $61 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$98 (1.6%) on $6,002 risked, vs +$571 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $5,529. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TTAN is at $61. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TTAN hits $61 by Jun 19
+$98
+1.6% on $6,002 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$702
Put floors you at $53
Break-even
$60.02
+8.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.57 / -4.06 / 8.98
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TTAN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $44 (-20%) | -$525 | -$590 | -$661 | -$702 |
| $47 (-15%) | -$427 | -$506 | -$604 | -$702 |
| $50 (-10%) | -$306 | -$396 | -$514 | -$702 |
| $53 (-5%) | -$163 | -$260 | -$389 | -$702 |
| $54 (-2%) | -$68 | -$166 | -$297 | -$584 |
| $55 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$99 | -$229 | -$473 |
| $56 (+2%) | +$71 | -$27 | -$155 | -$362 |
| $58 (+5%) | +$182 | +$85 | -$37 | -$197 |
| $61 (+10%) โ target | +$394 | +$304 | +$196 | +$98 |
| $64 (+15%) | +$594 | +$510 | +$418 | +$356 |
| $66 (+20%) | +$819 | +$745 | +$669 | +$633 |
Uses TTAN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.