Target Price Playground
TTWO
$197.07
๐ข
TTWO IV: 42.8% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 74.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $195 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.54 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $215 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.58 ยท ฮ 0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TTWO hits $220 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,304 (187.4%) on $696 risked, vs +$2,293 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $19,707. Options give 16.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TTWO is at $220. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TTWO hits $220 by Jun 19
+$1,304
+187.4% on $696 risked
Max Profit
+$1,304
If the stock โฅ $215 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$696
Net debit
Break-even
$201.96
+2.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
20.51 / -0.2 / 0.96
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $158 (-20%) | -$545 | -$611 | -$677 | -$696 |
| $168 (-15%) | -$432 | -$513 | -$625 | -$696 |
| $177 (-10%) | -$282 | -$363 | -$503 | -$696 |
| $187 (-5%) | -$102 | -$162 | -$287 | -$696 |
| $193 (-2%) | +$16 | -$25 | -$115 | -$696 |
| $197 (0%) โ spot | +$96 | +$72 | +$12 | -$489 |
| $201 (+2%) | +$177 | +$169 | +$145 | -$95 |
| $207 (+5%) | +$297 | +$316 | +$347 | +$496 |
| $217 (+10%) | +$489 | +$548 | +$660 | +$1,304 |
| $220 (+12%) โ target | +$549 | +$618 | +$749 | +$1,304 |
| $227 (+15%) | +$663 | +$750 | +$909 | +$1,304 |
| $236 (+20%) | +$811 | +$914 | +$1,082 | +$1,304 |
Uses TTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.