Target Price Playground
TTWO
$197.07
๐ข
TTWO IV: 42.8% โ LOW
(-42.6% vs 30d avg of 74.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $197.07 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TTWO hits $220 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$2,293 (11.6%) on $19,707 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TTWO hits $220 by Jun 19
+$2,293
+11.6% on $19,707 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$19,707
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$197.07
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TTWO Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $158 (-20%) | -$3,941 | -$3,941 | -$3,941 |
| $168 (-15%) | -$2,956 | -$2,956 | -$2,956 |
| $177 (-10%) | -$1,971 | -$1,971 | -$1,971 |
| $187 (-5%) | -$985 | -$985 | -$985 |
| $193 (-2%) | -$394 | -$394 | -$394 |
| $197 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $201 (+2%) | +$394 | +$394 | +$394 |
| $207 (+5%) | +$985 | +$985 | +$985 |
| $217 (+10%) | +$1,971 | +$1,971 | +$1,971 |
| $220 (+12%) โ target | +$2,293 | +$2,293 | +$2,293 |
| $227 (+15%) | +$2,956 | +$2,956 | +$2,956 |
| $236 (+20%) | +$3,941 | +$3,941 | +$3,941 |
Uses TTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.