Target Price Playground
TTWO
$197.07
๐ข
TTWO IV: 42.4% โ LOW
(-43.1% vs 30d avg of 74.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $225 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $195 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.54 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $195 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.8 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TTWO hits $225 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$166 (5.9%) on $2,834 risked, vs +$2,793 (14.2%) for 100 shares on $19,707. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TTWO is at $225. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TTWO hits $225 by Jun 19
+$166
+5.9% on $2,834 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,834
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$223.34
+13.33% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
45%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
15.06 / -21.2 / 65.83
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TTWO Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $158 (-20%) | +$1,198 | +$1,013 | +$886 | +$900 |
| $168 (-15%) | +$614 | +$312 | +$20 | -$85 |
| $177 (-10%) | +$226 | -$187 | -$666 | -$1,070 |
| $187 (-5%) | +$53 | -$438 | -$1,063 | -$2,056 |
| $193 (-2%) | +$55 | -$461 | -$1,132 | -$2,647 |
| $197 (0%) โ spot | +$99 | -$425 | -$1,105 | -$2,627 |
| $201 (+2%) | +$176 | -$348 | -$1,022 | -$2,233 |
| $207 (+5%) | +$350 | -$163 | -$801 | -$1,642 |
| $217 (+10%) | +$780 | +$314 | -$217 | -$656 |
| $225 (+14%) โ target | +$1,254 | +$843 | +$418 | +$166 |
| $236 (+20%) | +$2,055 | +$1,727 | +$1,440 | +$1,314 |
Uses TTWO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.