Target Price Playground
TXN
$214.73
๐ข
TXN IV: 37.9% โ LOW
(-40.8% vs 30d avg of 64.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $240 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $215 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.36 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TXN hits $240 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,064 (74.1%) on $1,436 risked, vs +$2,527 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $21,473. Options give 6.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TXN is at $240. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TXN hits $240 by Jun 19
+$1,064
+74.1% on $1,436 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,436
Premium paid
Break-even
$229.36
+6.81% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
46%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.92 / -11.39 / 36.42
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TXN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $172 (-20%) | -$1,313 | -$1,387 | -$1,431 | -$1,436 |
| $183 (-15%) | -$1,162 | -$1,295 | -$1,404 | -$1,436 |
| $193 (-10%) | -$906 | -$1,102 | -$1,308 | -$1,436 |
| $204 (-5%) | -$522 | -$769 | -$1,069 | -$1,436 |
| $210 (-2%) | -$225 | -$492 | -$827 | -$1,436 |
| $215 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$273 | -$620 | -$1,436 |
| $219 (+2%) | +$246 | -$29 | -$376 | -$1,034 |
| $225 (+5%) | +$654 | +$384 | +$53 | -$389 |
| $236 (+10%) | +$1,423 | +$1,179 | +$908 | +$684 |
| $240 (+12%) โ target | +$1,720 | +$1,488 | +$1,242 | +$1,064 |
| $247 (+15%) | +$2,288 | +$2,082 | +$1,880 | +$1,758 |
| $258 (+20%) | +$3,223 | +$3,056 | +$2,913 | +$2,832 |
Uses TXN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.