Target Price Playground
TYL
$317.30
๐ข
TYL IV: 46.9% โ LOW
(-53.9% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.25 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $345 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.29 ยท ฮ 0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TYL hits $355 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,804 (150.9%) on $1,196 risked, vs +$3,770 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $31,730. Options give 12.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TYL is at $355. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TYL hits $355 by Jun 19
+$1,804
+150.9% on $1,196 risked
Max Profit
+$1,804
If the stock โฅ $345 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,196
Net debit
Break-even
$326.96
+3.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.88 / -0.8 / 0.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TYL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | -$901 | -$1,011 | -$1,141 | -$1,196 |
| $270 (-15%) | -$728 | -$850 | -$1,038 | -$1,196 |
| $286 (-10%) | -$512 | -$624 | -$833 | -$1,196 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$264 | -$343 | -$514 | -$1,196 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$107 | -$156 | -$275 | -$1,196 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$28 | -$102 | -$966 |
| $324 (+2%) | +$107 | +$103 | +$76 | -$331 |
| $333 (+5%) | +$266 | +$297 | +$346 | +$621 |
| $349 (+10%) | +$522 | +$607 | +$768 | +$1,804 |
| $355 (+12%) โ target | +$613 | +$715 | +$910 | +$1,804 |
| $365 (+15%) | +$756 | +$883 | +$1,118 | +$1,804 |
| $381 (+20%) | +$964 | +$1,117 | +$1,379 | +$1,804 |
Uses TYL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.