Target Price Playground
TYL
$317.30
๐ข
TYL IV: 46.9% โ LOW
(-53.9% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $300 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $28.86 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $300 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.61 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TYL hits $300 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$948 (62.2%) on $1,525 risked, vs $-1,730 (-5.5%) for 100 shares on $31,730. Options give 11.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TYL is at $300. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TYL hits $300 by Jun 19
+$948
+62.2% on $1,525 risked
Max Profit
+$910
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,480
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$318.36
+0.33% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-7.16 / 3.72 / 11.86
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TYL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | -$70 | -$8 | +$51 | -$30 |
| $270 (-15%) | -$105 | -$18 | +$105 | +$140 |
| $286 (-10%) | -$169 | -$72 | +$95 | +$469 |
| $300 (-5%) โ target | -$253 | -$162 | +$7 | +$948 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$330 | -$252 | -$109 | +$344 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$378 | -$312 | -$192 | +$45 |
| $324 (+2%) | -$429 | -$375 | -$283 | -$217 |
| $333 (+5%) | -$509 | -$475 | -$429 | -$547 |
| $349 (+10%) | -$645 | -$647 | -$676 | -$947 |
| $365 (+15%) | -$778 | -$813 | -$901 | -$1,200 |
| $381 (+20%) | -$904 | -$964 | -$1,086 | -$1,351 |
Uses TYL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.