Target Price Playground
TYL
$317.30
๐ข
TYL IV: 46.9% โ LOW
(-53.9% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.25 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TYL hits $355 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,075 (36.8%) on $2,925 risked, vs +$3,770 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $31,730. Options give 3.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TYL is at $355. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TYL hits $355 by Jun 19
+$1,075
+36.8% on $2,925 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,925
Premium paid
Break-even
$344.25
+8.49% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.12 / -21.69 / 53.37
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TYL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | -$2,401 | -$2,651 | -$2,861 | -$2,925 |
| $270 (-15%) | -$2,028 | -$2,375 | -$2,730 | -$2,925 |
| $286 (-10%) | -$1,508 | -$1,940 | -$2,445 | -$2,925 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$831 | -$1,325 | -$1,943 | -$2,925 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$351 | -$865 | -$1,521 | -$2,925 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$522 | -$1,188 | -$2,695 |
| $324 (+2%) | +$374 | -$150 | -$814 | -$2,060 |
| $333 (+5%) | +$977 | +$459 | -$184 | -$1,108 |
| $349 (+10%) | +$2,083 | +$1,595 | +$1,027 | +$478 |
| $355 (+12%) โ target | +$2,529 | +$2,058 | +$1,525 | +$1,075 |
| $365 (+15%) | +$3,300 | +$2,860 | +$2,390 | +$2,064 |
| $381 (+20%) | +$4,609 | +$4,225 | +$3,855 | +$3,651 |
Uses TYL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.