Target Price Playground
TYL
$317.30
๐ข
TYL IV: 46.9% โ LOW
(-53.9% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $280 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.36 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TYL hits $280 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,064 (43.7%) on $2,436 risked, vs $-3,730 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $31,730. Options give 3.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TYL is at $280. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TYL hits $280 by Jun 19
+$1,064
+43.7% on $2,436 risked
Max Profit
+$29,064
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$2,436
Premium paid
Break-even
$290.64
-8.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.88 / -17.84 / 53.37
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TYL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | +$3,945 | +$3,779 | +$3,654 | +$3,680 |
| $270 (-15%) | +$2,732 | +$2,470 | +$2,200 | +$2,094 |
| $280 (-12%) โ target | +$2,022 | +$1,702 | +$1,333 | +$1,064 |
| $286 (-10%) | +$1,665 | +$1,318 | +$898 | +$507 |
| $301 (-5%) | +$755 | +$346 | -$187 | -$1,080 |
| $311 (-2%) | +$284 | -$146 | -$716 | -$2,031 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$437 | -$1,018 | -$2,436 |
| $324 (+2%) | -$261 | -$700 | -$1,280 | -$2,436 |
| $333 (+5%) | -$610 | -$1,043 | -$1,601 | -$2,436 |
| $349 (+10%) | -$1,090 | -$1,493 | -$1,977 | -$2,436 |
| $365 (+15%) | -$1,459 | -$1,814 | -$2,199 | -$2,436 |
| $381 (+20%) | -$1,737 | -$2,036 | -$2,321 | -$2,436 |
Uses TYL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.