Target Price Playground
TYL
$317.30
๐ข
TYL IV: 46.9% โ LOW
(-53.9% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $355 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $317.3 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TYL hits $355 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$3,770 (11.9%) on $31,730 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TYL hits $355 by Jun 19
+$3,770
+11.9% on $31,730 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$31,730
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$317.30
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TYL Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | -$6,346 | -$6,346 | -$6,346 |
| $270 (-15%) | -$4,760 | -$4,760 | -$4,760 |
| $286 (-10%) | -$3,173 | -$3,173 | -$3,173 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$1,586 | -$1,586 | -$1,586 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$635 | -$635 | -$635 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $324 (+2%) | +$635 | +$635 | +$635 |
| $333 (+5%) | +$1,587 | +$1,587 | +$1,587 |
| $349 (+10%) | +$3,173 | +$3,173 | +$3,173 |
| $355 (+12%) โ target | +$3,770 | +$3,770 | +$3,770 |
| $365 (+15%) | +$4,759 | +$4,759 | +$4,759 |
| $381 (+20%) | +$6,346 | +$6,346 | +$6,346 |
Uses TYL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.