Target Price Playground
TYL
$317.30
๐ข
TYL IV: 46.9% โ LOW
(-53.9% vs 30d avg of 101.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $365 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $29.25 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $315 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.36 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TYL hits $365 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-360 (-6.7%) on $5,360 risked, vs +$4,770 (15.0%) for 100 shares on $31,730. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if TYL is at $365. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TYL hits $365 by Jun 19
$-360
-6.7% on $5,360 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$5,360
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$368.60
+16.17% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
48%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.24 / -39.54 / 106.74
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TYL Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $254 (-20%) | +$1,544 | +$1,128 | +$793 | +$755 |
| $270 (-15%) | +$705 | +$96 | -$529 | -$831 |
| $286 (-10%) | +$158 | -$622 | -$1,548 | -$2,418 |
| $301 (-5%) | -$77 | -$978 | -$2,131 | -$4,005 |
| $311 (-2%) | -$67 | -$1,011 | -$2,238 | -$4,956 |
| $317 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$959 | -$2,206 | -$5,131 |
| $324 (+2%) | +$113 | -$850 | -$2,094 | -$4,496 |
| $333 (+5%) | +$367 | -$584 | -$1,786 | -$3,544 |
| $349 (+10%) | +$993 | +$103 | -$950 | -$1,958 |
| $365 (+15%) โ target | +$1,848 | +$1,053 | +$200 | -$361 |
| $381 (+20%) | +$2,872 | +$2,188 | +$1,535 | +$1,215 |
Uses TYL's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.