Target Price Playground
U
$21.62
๐ข
U IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 109.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.99 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $24 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.2 ยท ฮ 0.48
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If U hits $24 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$121 (153.6%) on $79 risked, vs +$238 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $2,162. Options give 14.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if U is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if U hits $24 by Jun 19
+$121
+153.6% on $79 risked
Max Profit
+$121
If the stock โฅ $24 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$79
Net debit
Break-even
$22.29
+3.09% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
10.59 / 0.02 / -0.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| U Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | -$44 | -$51 | -$63 | -$79 |
| $18 (-15%) | -$34 | -$40 | -$52 | -$79 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$23 | -$27 | -$38 | -$79 |
| $21 (-5%) | -$12 | -$14 | -$20 | -$79 |
| $21 (-2%) | -$5 | -$6 | -$9 | -$79 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$0 | -$2 | -$67 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$4 | +$6 | +$6 | -$24 |
| $23 (+5%) | +$11 | +$14 | +$18 | +$41 |
| $24 (+10%) | +$22 | +$27 | +$37 | +$121 |
| $24 (+11%) โ target | +$24 | +$30 | +$40 | +$121 |
| $25 (+15%) | +$33 | +$40 | +$54 | +$121 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$42 | +$52 | +$68 | +$121 |
Uses U's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.