Target Price Playground
U
$21.62
๐ข
U IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 109.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $23 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $20 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.19 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If U hits $23 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$219 (12.3%) on $-219 credit (max loss $1,781), vs +$88 (4.1%) for 100 shares on $2,162. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if U is at $23. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if U hits $23 by Jun 19
+$219
+12.3% on $1,781 max loss
Max Profit
+$219
If the stock โฅ $20 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,781
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$17.81
-17.62% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
90%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
35.45 / 1.88 / -3.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| U Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | -$174 | -$138 | -$95 | -$51 |
| $18 (-15%) | -$113 | -$73 | -$21 | +$57 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$60 | -$17 | +$40 | +$165 |
| $21 (-5%) | -$14 | +$30 | +$90 | +$219 |
| $21 (-2%) | +$10 | +$55 | +$114 | +$219 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | +$25 | +$70 | +$128 | +$219 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$39 | +$83 | +$140 | +$219 |
| $23 (+4%) โ target | +$53 | +$96 | +$151 | +$219 |
| $24 (+10%) | +$86 | +$128 | +$177 | +$219 |
| $25 (+15%) | +$110 | +$149 | +$191 | +$219 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$130 | +$165 | +$201 | +$219 |
Uses U's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.