Target Price Playground
U
$21.62
๐ข
U IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 109.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $21 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.19 ยท ฮ -0.4
SHORT PUT ยท $21 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.18 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If U hits $21 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$129 (127.3%) on $101 risked, vs $-112 (-5.2%) for 100 shares on $2,162. Options give 24.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if U is at $21. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if U hits $21 by Jun 19
+$129
+127.3% on $101 risked
Max Profit
+$128
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$75
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$23.68
+9.54% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
88%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-4.16 / 0.29 / 0.8
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| U Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | +$10 | +$17 | +$27 | +$26 |
| $18 (-15%) | +$9 | +$18 | +$32 | +$51 |
| $19 (-10%) | +$7 | +$16 | +$33 | +$86 |
| $21 (-5%) โ target | +$4 | +$13 | +$30 | +$129 |
| $21 (-2%) | +$2 | +$10 | +$27 | +$94 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$8 | +$24 | +$74 |
| $22 (+2%) | -$2 | +$6 | +$20 | +$56 |
| $23 (+5%) | -$5 | +$2 | +$14 | +$31 |
| $24 (+10%) | -$10 | -$5 | +$3 | -$3 |
| $25 (+15%) | -$16 | -$13 | -$10 | -$29 |
| $26 (+20%) | -$22 | -$21 | -$22 | -$49 |
Uses U's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.