Target Price Playground
U
$21.62
๐ข
U IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 109.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $19 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.7 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If U hits $19 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-20 (-7.2%) on $270 risked, vs $-262 (-12.1%) for 100 shares on $2,162. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if U is at $19. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if U hits $19 by Jun 19
$-20
-7.2% on $270 risked
Max Profit
+$1,880
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$270
Premium paid
Break-even
$18.80
-13.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-41.76 / -1.95 / 3.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| U Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | +$235 | +$204 | +$170 | +$150 |
| $18 (-15%) | +$165 | +$128 | +$83 | +$42 |
| $19 (-12%) โ target | +$129 | +$88 | +$38 | -$20 |
| $19 (-10%) | +$103 | +$61 | +$7 | -$66 |
| $21 (-5%) | +$48 | +$2 | -$58 | -$174 |
| $21 (-2%) | +$18 | -$29 | -$91 | -$239 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$48 | -$111 | -$270 |
| $22 (+2%) | -$18 | -$66 | -$130 | -$270 |
| $23 (+5%) | -$42 | -$91 | -$154 | -$270 |
| $24 (+10%) | -$79 | -$126 | -$187 | -$270 |
| $25 (+15%) | -$110 | -$156 | -$212 | -$270 |
| $26 (+20%) | -$136 | -$180 | -$230 | -$270 |
Uses U's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.