Target Price Playground
U
$21.62
๐ข
U IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 109.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $21.62 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $21 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.18 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If U hits $24 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$20 (0.8%) on $2,380 risked, vs +$238 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $2,162. Options give 0.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if U is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if U hits $24 by Jun 19
+$20
+0.8% on $2,380 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$330
Put floors you at $20
Break-even
$23.80
+10.07% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.72 / -1.89 / 3.47
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| U Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | -$221 | -$255 | -$296 | -$330 |
| $18 (-15%) | -$177 | -$216 | -$266 | -$330 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$125 | -$168 | -$225 | -$330 |
| $21 (-5%) | -$66 | -$111 | -$172 | -$326 |
| $21 (-2%) | -$27 | -$73 | -$134 | -$261 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$46 | -$107 | -$218 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$28 | -$18 | -$78 | -$175 |
| $23 (+5%) | +$72 | +$26 | -$32 | -$110 |
| $24 (+10%) | +$149 | +$105 | +$52 | -$2 |
| $24 (+11%) โ target | +$165 | +$122 | +$70 | +$20 |
| $25 (+15%) | +$231 | +$190 | +$142 | +$106 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$317 | +$279 | +$238 | +$214 |
Uses U's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.