Target Price Playground
U
$21.62
๐ข
U IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 109.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.99 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.7 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If U hits $25 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-219 (-38.5%) on $569 risked, vs +$338 (15.6%) for 100 shares on $2,162. Options give 2.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if U is at $25. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if U hits $25 by Jun 19
$-219
-38.5% on $569 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$569
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$27.19
+25.75% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.49 / -4.17 / 7.23
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| U Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | +$38 | -$30 | -$104 | -$149 |
| $18 (-15%) | +$7 | -$73 | -$168 | -$257 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$9 | -$100 | -$213 | -$365 |
| $21 (-5%) | -$12 | -$109 | -$235 | -$473 |
| $21 (-2%) | -$6 | -$106 | -$237 | -$538 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$102 | -$234 | -$557 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$8 | -$94 | -$227 | -$514 |
| $23 (+5%) | +$24 | -$79 | -$211 | -$449 |
| $24 (+10%) | +$59 | -$42 | -$169 | -$341 |
| $25 (+16%) โ target | +$112 | +$14 | -$102 | -$219 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$160 | +$67 | -$39 | -$125 |
Uses U's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.