Target Price Playground
U
$21.62
๐ข
U IV: 77.8% โ LOW
(-28.8% vs 30d avg of 109.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $24 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $22 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.99 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If U hits $24 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-49 (-16.4%) on $299 risked, vs +$238 (11.0%) for 100 shares on $2,162. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if U is at $24. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if U hits $24 by Jun 19
$-49
-16.4% on $299 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$299
Premium paid
Break-even
$24.49
+13.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
74%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.24 / -2.22 / 3.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| U Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $17 (-20%) | -$197 | -$233 | -$273 | -$299 |
| $18 (-15%) | -$158 | -$201 | -$252 | -$299 |
| $19 (-10%) | -$112 | -$160 | -$220 | -$299 |
| $21 (-5%) | -$59 | -$111 | -$177 | -$299 |
| $21 (-2%) | -$24 | -$77 | -$145 | -$299 |
| $22 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$53 | -$122 | -$287 |
| $22 (+2%) | +$26 | -$28 | -$98 | -$244 |
| $23 (+5%) | +$66 | +$12 | -$57 | -$179 |
| $24 (+10%) | +$138 | +$84 | +$18 | -$71 |
| $24 (+11%) โ target | +$153 | +$100 | +$34 | -$49 |
| $25 (+15%) | +$215 | +$163 | +$101 | +$37 |
| $26 (+20%) | +$296 | +$247 | +$191 | +$145 |
Uses U's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.