Target Price Playground
UNH
$304.33
๐ข
UNH IV: 35.4% โ LOW
(-39.0% vs 30d avg of 58.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $340 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $305 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $19.29 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If UNH hits $340 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,571 (81.4%) on $1,929 risked, vs +$3,567 (11.7%) for 100 shares on $30,433. Options give 7.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if UNH is at $340. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if UNH hits $340 by Jun 19
+$1,571
+81.4% on $1,929 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,929
Premium paid
Break-even
$324.29
+6.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
44%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.61 / -15.47 / 51.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| UNH Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | -$1,788 | -$1,877 | -$1,924 | -$1,929 |
| $259 (-15%) | -$1,596 | -$1,764 | -$1,895 | -$1,929 |
| $274 (-10%) | -$1,256 | -$1,513 | -$1,778 | -$1,929 |
| $289 (-5%) | -$730 | -$1,062 | -$1,462 | -$1,929 |
| $298 (-2%) | -$317 | -$677 | -$1,130 | -$1,929 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$371 | -$840 | -$1,929 |
| $310 (+2%) | +$348 | -$25 | -$496 | -$1,387 |
| $320 (+5%) | +$927 | +$561 | +$114 | -$474 |
| $335 (+10%) | +$2,025 | +$1,698 | +$1,336 | +$1,047 |
| $340 (+12%) โ target | +$2,437 | +$2,127 | +$1,801 | +$1,571 |
| $350 (+15%) | +$3,262 | +$2,989 | +$2,726 | +$2,569 |
| $365 (+20%) | +$4,601 | +$4,383 | +$4,199 | +$4,091 |
Uses UNH's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.