Target Price Playground
UNH
$304.33
๐ข
UNH IV: 35.4% โ LOW
(-39.0% vs 30d avg of 58.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $270 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $305 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.45 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If UNH hits $270 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,755 (100.6%) on $1,745 risked, vs $-3,433 (-11.3%) for 100 shares on $30,433. Options give 8.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if UNH is at $270. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if UNH hits $270 by Jun 19
+$1,755
+100.6% on $1,745 risked
Max Profit
+$28,755
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,745
Premium paid
Break-even
$287.55
-5.51% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
46%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.39 / -11.74 / 51.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| UNH Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | +$4,299 | +$4,293 | +$4,327 | +$4,409 |
| $259 (-15%) | +$2,969 | +$2,884 | +$2,834 | +$2,887 |
| $270 (-11%) โ target | +$2,074 | +$1,921 | +$1,775 | +$1,755 |
| $274 (-10%) | +$1,787 | +$1,612 | +$1,429 | +$1,365 |
| $289 (-5%) | +$792 | +$542 | +$224 | -$156 |
| $298 (-2%) | +$293 | +$14 | -$356 | -$1,069 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$289 | -$676 | -$1,678 |
| $310 (+2%) | -$261 | -$552 | -$941 | -$1,745 |
| $320 (+5%) | -$595 | -$879 | -$1,243 | -$1,745 |
| $335 (+10%) | -$1,018 | -$1,263 | -$1,542 | -$1,745 |
| $350 (+15%) | -$1,303 | -$1,494 | -$1,674 | -$1,745 |
| $365 (+20%) | -$1,486 | -$1,622 | -$1,723 | -$1,745 |
Uses UNH's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.