Target Price Playground
V
$304.36
๐ข
V IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 46.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $270 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $305 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.45 ยท ฮ -0.47
SHORT PUT ยท $280 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.4 ยท ฮ -0.23
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If V hits $270 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$1,695 (210.6%) on $805 risked, vs $-3,436 (-11.3%) for 100 shares on $30,436. Options give 18.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if V is at $270. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if V hits $270 by Jun 19
+$1,695
+210.6% on $805 risked
Max Profit
+$1,695
If the stock โค $280 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$805
Net debit
Break-even
$296.95
-2.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
34%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-24.5 / -1.1 / 9.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| V Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | +$1,506 | +$1,593 | +$1,671 | +$1,695 |
| $259 (-15%) | +$1,278 | +$1,398 | +$1,563 | +$1,695 |
| $270 (-11%) โ target | +$1,031 | +$1,142 | +$1,332 | +$1,695 |
| $274 (-10%) | +$932 | +$1,032 | +$1,212 | +$1,695 |
| $289 (-5%) | +$517 | +$541 | +$586 | +$781 |
| $298 (-2%) | +$266 | +$237 | +$174 | -$132 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | +$107 | +$48 | -$74 | -$741 |
| $310 (+2%) | -$40 | -$123 | -$285 | -$805 |
| $320 (+5%) | -$234 | -$339 | -$519 | -$805 |
| $335 (+10%) | -$479 | -$584 | -$721 | -$805 |
| $350 (+15%) | -$634 | -$714 | -$786 | -$805 |
| $365 (+20%) | -$722 | -$771 | -$802 | -$805 |
Uses V's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.