Target Price Playground
V
$304.36
๐ข
V IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 46.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $340 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $305 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.45 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $330 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.35 ยท ฮ 0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If V hits $340 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,490 (147.5%) on $1,010 risked, vs +$3,564 (11.7%) for 100 shares on $30,436. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if V is at $340. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if V hits $340 by Jun 19
+$1,490
+147.5% on $1,010 risked
Max Profit
+$1,490
If the stock โฅ $330 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,010
Net debit
Break-even
$315.10
+3.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
33%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
29.09 / -3.83 / 13.89
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| V Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | -$973 | -$999 | -$1,010 | -$1,010 |
| $259 (-15%) | -$893 | -$957 | -$1,003 | -$1,010 |
| $274 (-10%) | -$726 | -$830 | -$953 | -$1,010 |
| $289 (-5%) | -$454 | -$566 | -$752 | -$1,010 |
| $298 (-2%) | -$247 | -$338 | -$510 | -$1,010 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | -$97 | -$163 | -$297 | -$1,010 |
| $310 (+2%) | +$59 | +$23 | -$54 | -$465 |
| $320 (+5%) | +$294 | +$307 | +$333 | +$448 |
| $335 (+10%) | +$658 | +$742 | +$902 | +$1,490 |
| $340 (+12%) โ target | +$768 | +$868 | +$1,049 | +$1,490 |
| $350 (+15%) | +$954 | +$1,070 | +$1,256 | +$1,490 |
| $365 (+20%) | +$1,166 | +$1,277 | +$1,414 | +$1,490 |
Uses V's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.