Target Price Playground
๐ Strategy
๐ฏ Target
โ๏ธ Legs
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If V hits $320 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$540 (2.0%) on $-540 credit (max loss $27,460), vs +$1,564 (5.1%) for 100 shares on $30,436. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if V is at $320. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| V Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | -$3,093 | -$3,056 | -$3,049 | -$3,111 |
| $259 (-15%) | -$1,904 | -$1,778 | -$1,641 | -$1,589 |
| $274 (-10%) | -$971 | -$779 | -$525 | -$68 |
| $289 (-5%) | -$313 | -$114 | +$147 | +$540 |
| $298 (-2%) | -$40 | +$139 | +$353 | +$540 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | +$99 | +$259 | +$433 | +$540 |
| $310 (+2%) | +$209 | +$347 | +$482 | +$540 |
| $320 (+5%) โ target | +$335 | +$438 | +$520 | +$540 |
| $335 (+10%) | +$449 | +$506 | +$537 | +$540 |
| $350 (+15%) | +$503 | +$530 | +$540 | +$540 |
| $365 (+20%) | +$526 | +$537 | +$540 | +$540 |