Target Price Playground
V
$304.36
๐ข
V IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 46.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $330 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $304.36 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $330 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.35 ยท ฮ 0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If V hits $330 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$2,999 (10.0%) on $30,001 risked, vs +$2,564 (8.4%) for 100 shares on $30,436. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if V is at $330. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if V hits $330 by Jun 19
+$2,999
+10.0% on $30,001 risked
Max Profit
+$2,999
If the stock โฅ $330 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$30,001
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$300.01
-1.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
48%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
75.64 / 7.98 / -37.46
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| V Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | -$5,659 | -$5,653 | -$5,652 | -$5,652 |
| $259 (-15%) | -$4,162 | -$4,137 | -$4,130 | -$4,130 |
| $274 (-10%) | -$2,716 | -$2,646 | -$2,612 | -$2,609 |
| $289 (-5%) | -$1,371 | -$1,226 | -$1,114 | -$1,087 |
| $298 (-2%) | -$640 | -$441 | -$254 | -$174 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | -$192 | +$43 | +$288 | +$435 |
| $310 (+2%) | +$222 | +$489 | +$790 | +$1,044 |
| $320 (+5%) | +$772 | +$1,077 | +$1,448 | +$1,957 |
| $330 (+8%) โ target | +$1,295 | +$1,621 | +$2,032 | +$2,999 |
| $335 (+10%) | +$1,499 | +$1,827 | +$2,238 | +$2,999 |
| $350 (+15%) | +$2,004 | +$2,308 | +$2,659 | +$2,999 |
| $365 (+20%) | +$2,327 | +$2,581 | +$2,833 | +$2,999 |
Uses V's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.