Target Price Playground
V
$304.36
๐ข
V IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 46.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $290 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $305 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.64 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $290 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.35 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If V hits $290 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,021 (140.1%) on $729 risked, vs $-1,436 (-4.7%) for 100 shares on $30,436. Options give 29.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if V is at $290. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if V hits $290 by Jun 19
+$1,021
+140.1% on $729 risked
Max Profit
+$978
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$729
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$307.85
+1.15% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-15.12 / 1.75 / 17.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| V Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | +$650 | +$671 | +$676 | +$667 |
| $259 (-15%) | +$605 | +$655 | +$698 | +$680 |
| $274 (-10%) | +$502 | +$575 | +$679 | +$757 |
| $290 (-5%) โ target | +$322 | +$386 | +$498 | +$1,047 |
| $298 (-2%) | +$208 | +$253 | +$332 | +$510 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | +$119 | +$147 | +$189 | +$187 |
| $310 (+2%) | +$29 | +$37 | +$41 | -$73 |
| $320 (+5%) | -$104 | -$123 | -$170 | -$355 |
| $335 (+10%) | -$304 | -$354 | -$443 | -$605 |
| $350 (+15%) | -$460 | -$519 | -$602 | -$696 |
| $365 (+20%) | -$569 | -$621 | -$679 | -$722 |
Uses V's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.