Target Price Playground
V
$304.36
๐ข
V IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 46.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $270 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $305 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.45 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If V hits $270 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$2,155 (160.2%) on $1,345 risked, vs $-3,436 (-11.3%) for 100 shares on $30,436. Options give 14.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if V is at $270. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if V hits $270 by Jun 19
+$2,155
+160.2% on $1,345 risked
Max Profit
+$29,155
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,345
Premium paid
Break-even
$291.55
-4.21% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
34%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-47.22 / -9.42 / 51.31
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| V Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | +$4,599 | +$4,649 | +$4,720 | +$4,806 |
| $259 (-15%) | +$3,182 | +$3,175 | +$3,205 | +$3,284 |
| $270 (-11%) โ target | +$2,215 | +$2,147 | +$2,105 | +$2,155 |
| $274 (-10%) | +$1,903 | +$1,811 | +$1,736 | +$1,763 |
| $289 (-5%) | +$830 | +$655 | +$440 | +$241 |
| $298 (-2%) | +$306 | +$98 | -$179 | -$672 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | +$8 | -$211 | -$507 | -$1,281 |
| $310 (+2%) | -$250 | -$471 | -$766 | -$1,345 |
| $320 (+5%) | -$565 | -$774 | -$1,038 | -$1,345 |
| $335 (+10%) | -$927 | -$1,090 | -$1,258 | -$1,345 |
| $350 (+15%) | -$1,137 | -$1,244 | -$1,326 | -$1,345 |
| $365 (+20%) | -$1,248 | -$1,309 | -$1,342 | -$1,345 |
Uses V's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.