Target Price Playground
V
$304.36
๐ข
V IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 46.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $335 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $304.36 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $290 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.35 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If V hits $335 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$2,229 (7.1%) on $31,271 risked, vs +$3,064 (10.1%) for 100 shares on $30,436. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if V is at $335. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if V hits $335 by Jun 19
+$2,229
+7.1% on $31,271 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,271
Put floors you at $290
Break-even
$312.71
+2.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
40%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
68.73 / -9.43 / 43.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| V Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | -$2,393 | -$2,387 | -$2,349 | -$2,271 |
| $259 (-15%) | -$2,175 | -$2,252 | -$2,308 | -$2,271 |
| $274 (-10%) | -$1,748 | -$1,910 | -$2,106 | -$2,271 |
| $289 (-5%) | -$1,059 | -$1,267 | -$1,548 | -$2,271 |
| $298 (-2%) | -$518 | -$726 | -$1,000 | -$1,444 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | -$108 | -$306 | -$554 | -$835 |
| $310 (+2%) | +$337 | +$156 | -$56 | -$226 |
| $320 (+5%) | +$1,062 | +$912 | +$760 | +$687 |
| $335 (+10%) โ target | +$2,406 | +$2,312 | +$2,243 | +$2,229 |
| $350 (+15%) | +$3,809 | +$3,758 | +$3,732 | +$3,730 |
| $365 (+20%) | +$5,285 | +$5,260 | +$5,252 | +$5,252 |
Uses V's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.