Target Price Playground
V
$304.36
๐ข
V IV: 27.8% โ LOW
(-40.3% vs 30d avg of 46.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $350 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $305 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.45 ยท ฮ 0.53
LONG PUT ยท $305 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.45 ยท ฮ -0.47
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If V hits $350 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$1,710 (61.3%) on $2,790 risked, vs +$4,564 (15.0%) for 100 shares on $30,436. Options give 4.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if V is at $350. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if V hits $350 by Jun 19
+$1,710
+61.3% on $2,790 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,790
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$277.10
-8.96% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
21%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
6.22 / -21.23 / 102.66
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| V Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $243 (-20%) | +$3,199 | +$3,215 | +$3,275 | +$3,361 |
| $259 (-15%) | +$1,886 | +$1,790 | +$1,766 | +$1,839 |
| $274 (-10%) | +$849 | +$583 | +$351 | +$318 |
| $289 (-5%) | +$225 | -$207 | -$720 | -$1,204 |
| $298 (-2%) | +$90 | -$408 | -$1,044 | -$2,117 |
| $304 (0%) โ spot | +$103 | -$417 | -$1,092 | -$2,726 |
| $310 (+2%) | +$197 | -$328 | -$1,002 | -$2,245 |
| $320 (+5%) | +$479 | -$21 | -$631 | -$1,332 |
| $335 (+10%) | +$1,276 | +$869 | +$450 | +$190 |
| $350 (+15%) โ target | +$2,377 | +$2,082 | +$1,834 | +$1,710 |
| $365 (+20%) | +$3,678 | +$3,474 | +$3,326 | +$3,233 |
Uses V's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.