Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
VIAV
$41.79
๐ŸŸข
VIAV IV: 72.9% โ€” LOW (-24.3% vs 30d avg of 96.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $44 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $38 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.91 ยท ฮ” -0.32
P&L at Expiry Now $42 Target $44 $29 $42 $54
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If VIAV hits $44 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$891 (30.6%) on $-891 credit (max loss $2,909), vs +$221 (5.3%) for 100 shares on $4,179. Options give 5.8ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if VIAV is at $44. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if VIAV hits $44 by Jun 19
+$891
+30.6% on $2,909 max loss
Max Profit
+$891
If the stock โ‰ฅ $38 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$2,909
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$
None% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
88%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
31.77 / 3.88 / -6.71
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

VIAV Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$33 (-20%) +$153 +$228 +$323 +$434
$36 (-15%) +$264 +$347 +$456 +$643
$38 (-10%) +$361 +$449 +$566 +$852
$40 (-5%) +$445 +$535 +$654 +$891
$41 (-2%) +$489 +$580 +$697 +$891
$42 (0%) โ† spot +$517 +$607 +$722 +$891
$43 (+2%) +$543 +$632 +$745 +$891
$44 (+5%) โ† target +$582 +$669 +$776 +$891
$46 (+10%) +$631 +$714 +$810 +$891
$48 (+15%) +$675 +$752 +$837 +$891
$50 (+20%) +$712 +$783 +$855 +$891
Uses VIAV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.